Why Your Whale Markers Look “Wrong” – And What They’re Really Showing You

Why do whale markers appear… and then price seems to do something completely different to what you expected? In this breakdown, Martin Cole explains what the PAT whale markers really show, why they often look “wrong,” and how to read them in the context of AMD.

Why Your Whale Markers Look “Wrong” – And What They’re Really Showing You

Most traders love the idea of seeing what the “big players” are doing. That’s why the whale markers inside the PAT Indicator attract so much attention. They feel like a direct window into professional activity.

But that also means they’re easy to misunderstand.

In this video, I walk through how the whale markers actually work, why they sometimes appear to “get it wrong,” and how to use them properly as part of your overall read of the market.


What the Whale Markers Are – and Are Not

The first thing to understand is simple:

Whale markers are not signals.

They are not telling you “buy here” or “sell here.” They are not guaranteed reversal markers. Instead, they are a visibility tool that highlights areas where larger players are likely active in the market.

Think of them as a prompt to pay attention, not a command to act.

When a whale marker appears, it is showing you that something of interest is happening in that area of price. What follows next still depends on the broader context: the phase of Accumulation, Manipulation, or Distribution, the session structure, and the overall business model of the move.


Why Price Doesn’t Always Do What You Expect

One of the most common complaints from new PAT users is:

“The whale marker appeared, and price didn’t move the way I thought it would.”

There are a few reasons for this:

  • Timing:
    Professional activity doesn’t always translate into an immediate move. Accumulation often takes time. The marker may appear early in the process.
  • Context:
    A whale marker inside manipulation will behave very differently to a marker inside distribution. Without understanding AMD, it’s easy to project the wrong expectation onto the chart.
  • Direction bias:
    Many traders assume every marker must confirm their existing bias. When price doesn’t follow that script, they judge the marker as “wrong” instead of questioning the expectation.

The marker is not the mistake. The expectation usually is.


Using Whale Markers Inside AMD

To get the best from whale markers, you need to anchor them inside the Accumulation → Manipulation → Distribution framework.

  • In Accumulation, whale markers can highlight where larger players are quietly building positions. Moves may look slow or messy, but this is where intent is formed.
  • In Manipulation, markers can appear around sharp spikes and stop hunts. Here, they are often connected to the liquidity grab that fuels the later move.
  • In Distribution, markers can show areas where professionals may be taking profit or rebalancing as the move completes.

On their own, the markers are just information. Inside AMD, they become part of a coherent story.


Common Mistakes with Whale Markers

Here are a few patterns I see regularly:

  • Treating markers as mechanical entry signals.
  • Ignoring session timing and structural levels.
  • Expecting every marker to lead to a large move.
  • Judging the marker after a few candles instead of seeing the full phase.

If you use whale markers as confirmation of your existing story, they’ll often disappoint you. If you use them as a prompt to step back, zoom out, and read the structure, they become extremely valuable.


The Goal: Seeing the Business Model, Not Just the Marker

The whale markers were never designed to be a standalone tool. They exist to help you see the business model behind the move — where larger players are interested, where they might be building, and where they may be completing.

If you’ve been frustrated or confused by how whale markers behave, I’d encourage you to watch the full walkthrough and see them in context:

Once you understand what they’re really showing you, your relationship with them — and with the chart — changes completely.